Bela Vista – Case Study

CARROLL DISTRESSED DEAL CASE STUDY:  BELA VISTA FARM 

An unconventional deal-sourcing mechanism used by the Carroll organization is the monitoring of auction houses.  While it is less common for banks to auction farmland to dispose of a non-performing asset (compared to residential and commercial real estate assets), this mechanism still does occur.  Carroll monitors various auction houses in Western Bahia and other regions of Brazil and has a certified auctioneer and auction capacities in-house.

In 2020, through this monitoring, Carroll identified a farmland asset slated for auction due to the non-performance of a fiduciary lien held by Bradesco, one of Brazil’s largest banks.  An auction house had been hired by the bank to “consolidate” the asset and an auction was scheduled to occur. 

IDENTIFYING THE ASSET:  UNDERSTANDING THE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVE LANDSCAPE

Upon identifying the potential for a deal, the Carroll team began researching background information on the asset.  They identified it as 2300-hectare productive farmland with a large farmstead and grain storage and drying facilities in the Bela Vista area of Luis Eduardo Magalhaes in Western Bahia, Brazil.  Soy yields in Western Bahia are among the best in Brazil due to a unique combination of climate, flat fields, elevation, sun coverage, and a focus on maximizing a primary crop (instead of trying to produce two high-yield crops per year).  Within Western Bahia, the Bela Vista area has the highest altitudes and the highest rainfall, making it some of the most desirable land. 

FINDING THE PRODUCER:  KNOWING THE REGION AND HAVING THE RIGHT CONNECTIONS

Through Carroll’s combination of deep research capabilities and extensive on-the-ground experience and personal networks in the region, the team was able to identify the owner of the property and that he also held farmland rental contracts to produce on an additional 3400 hectares nearby.

Making contact directly with the producer, to understand his situation in greater detail and identify the possibility of a custom solution by Carroll was difficult.  Using publicly listed contact information resulted in no response and was unsuccessful.  It was only through personal contacts and deep knowledge of the region that contact was made via an internal Carroll staff’s contact who frequented the same church as the producer.

RECOGNIZING THE OPPORTUNITY:  MAKING USE OF FIVE GENERATIONS OF PRODUCER BACKGROUND

On the production side, the Carroll organization has been successfully farming in the United States for five generations and has been operating in Brazil for 20 years with a conservative and cautious financial management perspective.  They have been through the ups and downs of crop cycles, unpredictable weather, local and global financial and economic contexts, and know where many other producers make mistakes.  And on a business opportunity side, they often find the best potential deals and transactions in downturns or times of distress.

Taking this experience in mind, Carroll staff connected with the producer and learned that the family had moved to Western Bahia from Southern Brazil and had been successfully farming the property for around 25 years.  Poor strategic, managerial and financial decisions, along with some bad luck, resulted in significant financial distress.  For example, the producer had decided to shift to planting cotton (a higher-risk crop) instead of focusing on crops like soy for which he already had significant experience.  Poor weather conditions during the years of experimenting with cotton production further reduced expected yields.  The family also had invested heavily in infrastructure on the farm. 

The family had also attempted to refinance some of their outstanding debts but was unsuccessful in doing so.  They had taken out a number of high-interest loans and even fell victim to an international farm finance scheme.  In further conversations, the Carroll organization learned that they had already lost a significant amount of their equipment to creditors and were unable to continue farming on their land.  Therefore, at the time in 2020 when Carroll first contacted them, their only option was to declare bankruptcy and try to avoid losing all of their farmland assets. 

CREATING A SOLUTION:  UTILIZING A FULL-SERVICE EXPERIENCED TEAM

Within the Carroll organization’s service side businesses, they have experts in-house for every aspect of a producer’s administrative experience, including legal and environmental services, financing and financial market services, and financial management and accounting services.  Through this, Carroll is able not only to design but also execute a comprehensive solution tailored to a producer’s specific situation.

In the case of the Bela Vista farm, finding a solution was not easy.  All of the family’s land was tied to mortgages, but they did have significant untapped equity.  Specifically, they owed about BRL 70M against a BRL 200M asset, but the farmland was slated for auction soon.  They also had around BRL 50M in debt to other sources.

The Carroll organization liked the idea of a potential deal because the properties themselves are highly productive, the potential for immediate possession or co-possession, and the distress aspect that allowed for a price entry below market.

Carroll, therefore, decided to make an offer to prepay rent and farm the property itself for 10 years with the goal of using this immediate cash liquidity to address the high-interest debts held by the producer.  In this unique model, the goal was to try to allow the farmer to keep his land over time, while Carroll reserved the right to farm the land for 10 years with the guarantee that if the farmer is unable to pay back, Carroll would retain ownership of the land.  In conventional bank liquidations, the land is merely sold at auction to eliminate debts, with the original farmer not maintaining ownership and no potential cash flow through production and rental agreements.

This proposal occurred near the beginning of the planting cycle in September/October 2020.  While most would not take on this farming responsibility due to the need of purchasing inputs last-minute (most farmers purchase inputs like seed, pesticides, and fertilizers well in advance and over time, often using financing through the suppliers with a part of the crop production pre-sold to the supplier), the Carroll organization’s long-term internal financial management practices allowed it to have the cash flow position to do so.   

In addition to the prepaid rent, Carroll focused on the issue of possession and the pending auction, working alongside the producer.  Carroll’s staff worked to structure and negotiated a pre-packaged or mediated bankruptcy (not a full, formal bankruptcy) to renegotiate debts and arrangements.  Aside from the immediate land guarantees tied to the auction, other guarantees could be resolved in a longer timeframe. 

Carroll also negotiated the possibility of full possession of the farmland with the family should the overall terms not be met, with the understanding that in the immediate term, Carroll would be managing the land’s quality and directly producing on it.

TURNING THINGS AROUND:  MAXIMIZING RETURNS ON THE INVESTMENT

The farmland itself has been properly farmed for around thirty years which adds value to the land and improves soil health to recover past yields. It also receives plenty of rainfall.  However, there are still some improvements being made to address some issues of weed and pest infestations and soil compacting.

Specifically for the land investment component, in 2021, after one year, Carroll essentially purchased 75% of 2,297 hectares of farmland and the accompanying legal reserve (legally required percentage of a property that must be preserved in its natural state) for 300 sacks per hectare and averaged the sack price at $26.11 dollars.  Today it is worth 400 sacks.

Land Investment Component Estimated IRR

Investment:  US$ 13.5M

Return:  US$ 18.6M

Unrealized gain:  US$ 5.1M

Total net investment over last two years:  US$ 15.1M

Total estimated return beyond investment if liquidated in May 2023: US$ 14.6M

An estimated IRR calculation shows a potential 35.4% annualized return in US dollars before considering capital gain taxes (See table on next page).

Bela Vista, Bahia     
Conditions: Carroll rents property (prepays rent with option to buy). Assumes all farm operations in October 2020 
Type of InstrumentRent + SPA 
Credit Purchase15,100,000to creditors with real guarantee as well as immediate urgent operational needs
IRR35.4%effective annualized internal rate of return including everything except taxes
Expected DatesReturn of Initial CapitalInitial Investment BalanceReturn / GainExpenses / Add. InvestmentNet CashCumulative Net Cash
10/15/2020 9,060,000  (9,060,000)(9,060,000)
5/31/20215,380,00012,080,000 8,400,000(3,020,000)(12,080,000)
5/31/20225,530,00015,100,000 8,550,000(3,020,000)(15,100,000)
5/31/202315,100,000014,600,000 29,700,00014,600,000

Investment:  15,100,000

Return to investor over investment value:  14,600,000

Total returned:  29,700,000

IRR:  35.4%

Multi:  1.97

Land Operating Component Estimated Returns

First Year

Rent: 13 sacks (at harvest)

Operating cost: 21 sacks (cost was lower because opportunity appeared at almost planting time so were unable to invest in the soil or purchase much fertilizer)

Total cost: 33 sacks

Investment:  US$ 4.9M

Harvest/return:  US$ 10.3M USD

Profit: $5.38M  USD

R$ 55,509,311 revenue

R$ 26,479,021 expense

R$ 29,030,290 Net Income (after tax) / R$ 5.3958 (average Exchange rate in 2021) = US$ 5.38M

Second Year

Rent:  average of 7.8 sacks (at harvest because only 3,456 hectares have rent)

Operating cost:  25 sacks

Total cost:  32.8 sacks

Investment: US$ 5.7M

Harvest/return:  US$ 11.2M

Profit: US$ 5.53M USD

R$57,626,000 revenue

R$29,180,000 expense

R$28,446,000 Net Income (after tax) / R$ 5.1412 (average Exchange rate in 2022 thru Nov) = US$ 5.53M

Third Year Projection

Rent:  average of 7.8 sacks (at harvest because only 3,456 hectares have rent)

Operating cost:  25 sacks

Total cost:  32.8 sacks

Investment: US$ 5.7M

Harvest/return: US$ 9.5M

Profit: US$ 3.8M

CONCLUSION:  THE CARROLL DIFFERENCE

When a family faces such dire circumstances and has been deceived time and time again it is hard for them to trust another institution offering a potential solution. Carroll is an established farming family and producer service provider with a solid track record with a wide array of services that make it an excellent option to help distressed farmers, or at least make a bad situation as best as possible, and create opportunistic returns for both Carroll and investors.

Because the Carrolls are farmers, they have a distinct advantage and can sit down and “talk shop” to identify “out of the box” solutions.  Carroll is also positioned as a unique player in the market that has the know-how and infrastructure to operate the farm at a moment’s notice. Additionally, Carroll has the capacity to invest and pay cash for inputs late in the season when most producers would need terms and financial assistance.

Carroll’s unique team also played a significant role in making this deal happen.  Carroll’s principal owners (the family) were able to access US-based capital quickly to invest in additional machinery and resolution of immediate debt conflicts.  Carroll’s human resources and financial support were able to hire employees and also work together with attorneys for debt resolution.  Carroll’s farm administrator was able to quickly mobilize an operational team to be able to plant on the new farmland and leverage Carroll’s input purchasing relationships with suppliers to quickly acquire seed, chemicals, and fertilizer.  Finally, Carroll’s internal legal team, along with strategic external partners, was able to effectively structure partnership and rental contracts and efficiently move legal processes through the local courthouses.

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LYANDRA BRIZOLLA LARA

Advogada

John is a co-founder of AgDev, where he serves as chairman. John is a member of a 5th-generation farming family. He graduated from Western Illinois University in 2003 with a degree in Agribusiness and an MBA with a finance emphasis. John and his wife Kelly moved to Brazil to manage the farm that the Carroll family had recently acquired. John lived in Brazil for 10 years where the operation grew to include 25,000 acres of owned and leased row crop farmland, a cotton gin, and a business services which does consulting, accounting, and compliance work for other foreigners with investments in Brazil. John oversees long term strategic planning for the Brazil business. In the US business John manages the family’s sow farms in Illinois and Missouri. 

LYANDRA BRIZOLLA LARA

Lawyer

specializes in Agrarian Law and has experience in civil litigation and agribusiness. At AgDev, she supports the legal team in producer due diligence, contract review, CPR drafting, and collateral registration with notary offices.

João Rossi Neto

Data Science and Agro-Intelligence Specialist

PhD in Bioenergy with deep expertise in AI, data science, and crop modeling. João supports AgDev’s strategic decisions by developing predictive models and analytical tools using Python, DSSAT, and satellite imagery. His work enhances risk analysis, productivity forecasting, and operational efficiency​.  João leads our effort to use AI agentic workflows to drive efficiency.

Náiade Ribeiro

Credit and Monitoring Analyst

is an Agricultural Engineer graduated from UNICAMP, with solid experience in rural asset evaluation, financial modeling, georeferencing, and client relationship management. She works at AgDev as a Credit and Monitoring Analyst, being responsible for conducting rural credit analyses, ensuring compliance with ESG criteria, and monitoring the performance of financed operations. She has expertise in tools such as QGIS for geospatial analysis, property mapping, and validation of land data, contributing to more accurate technical evaluations of guarantees and productive viability. She leads the post-disbursement monitoring process, coordinating external consultants and validating the planting and harvesting stages, the economic performance of the farms, and key risk indicators. Her work strengthens risk mitigation for the fund and enhances the sustainability of financed agricultural operations.

João Rossi Neto

Especialista em Ciência de Dados e Agrointeligência

Doutor em Bioenergia com profundo conhecimento em IA, ciência de dados e modelagem de culturas. João apoia as decisões estratégicas da AgDev, desenvolvendo modelos preditivos e ferramentas analíticas usando Python, DSSAT e imagens de satélite. Seu trabalho aprimora a análise de risco, a previsão de produtividade e a eficiência operacional. João lidera nosso esforço para usar fluxos de trabalho através de agentes de IA para impulsionar a eficiência.

Náiade Ribeiro

Analista de Crédito e Monitoramento

é Engenheira Agrícola formada pela UNICAMP, com sólida experiência em avaliação de ativos rurais, estruturação de modelos financeiros, georreferenciamento e gestão do relacionamento com o cliente. Atua na AgDev como Analista de Crédito e Monitoramento, sendo responsável por conduzir análises de crédito rural, garantir conformidade com critérios ESG e acompanhar o desempenho das operações financiadas. Possui expertise no uso de ferramentas como QGIS para análise geoespacial, mapeamento de propriedades e validação de dados fundiários, contribuindo para uma avaliação técnica mais precisa das garantias e da viabilidade produtiva. Lidera o processo de monitoramento pós-desembolso, coordenando consultores externos e validando as etapas de plantio e colheita, o desempenho econômico das propriedades e os principais indicadores de risco. Sua atuação fortalece a mitigação de riscos do fundo e a sustentabilidade das operações agrícolas financiadas.

John Carroll

Presidente

John é cofundador da AgDev, onde atua como presidente. John é membro de uma família de agricultores de quinta geração. Formou-se em Agronegócios pela Western Illinois University em 2003 e possui MBA com ênfase em finanças. John e sua esposa, Kelly, mudaram-se para o Brasil para administrar a fazenda que a família Carroll havia adquirido recentemente. John morou no Brasil por 10 anos, onde a operação cresceu para incluir 25.000 acres de terras próprias e arrendadas para cultivo em fileiras, uma descaroçadora de algodão e uma empresa de serviços empresariais que realiza consultoria, contabilidade e conformidade para outros estrangeiros com investimentos no Brasil. John supervisiona o planejamento estratégico de longo prazo dos negócios no Brasil. Nos EUA, John administra as granjas de matrizes da família em Illinois e Missouri.

David Weihs

Relações com Agricultores

David é cofundador da AgDev e responsável por Relações com Agricultores. Formou-se pela Universidade Cornell em Economia Aplicada e Gestão, com especialização em Agronegócios e Finanças. Desde 2005, gerenciou um projeto de desenvolvimento de terras no Brasil e esteve envolvido nos estágios iniciais de diversos agronegócios sediados em Iowa, com foco em agricultura, produção de suínos e laticínios. Em 2009, David começou a trabalhar na Carroll Farms Brasil, concentrando-se na análise de oportunidades de expansão. Atualmente, é coproprietário da Carroll e atua na gestão em todos os níveis. Também colaborou com a família Carroll em Carthage, Illinois, em diversas ocasiões. David reside na Bahia e é casado com Fabíola Weihs. Eles têm três filhos.

Beatriz Martinez

COO

Economista urbana e estrategista de sistemas nascida na Espanha, Beatriz possui doutorado pela UNICAMP. Com vasta experiência internacional, ela lidera operações, estratégia e estruturação financeira. Ela coordena a execução de operações de crédito desde a origem até o monitoramento, gerenciando equipes externas — jurídica, agronômica, compliance, estruturação e cobranças — para garantir o alinhamento com critérios ESG e regulatórios. Ela supervisiona a due diligence com foco em qualidade e velocidade, estrutura desembolsos e monitora indicadores de desempenho e risco ao longo do ciclo de vida de cada transação.

Joseph Williams

CEO

Joseph é um empreendedor internacional experiente com 25 anos de experiência em real asset nos EUA e no Brasil. Ele liderou a captação de recursos, estruturação e implantação de mais de US$ 230 milhões em investimentos em real asset brasileiros, trabalhando com investidores globais de primeira linha, como GIC e Goldman Sachs. Na AgDev, ele supervisiona a estratégia do fundo, as relações com investidores e a estruturação transfronteiriça, fornecendo soluções escaláveis e gerenciadas por risco para limited partners (LPs) internacionais.

Beatriz Martinez

COO

A Spanish-born urban economist and systems strategist, Beatriz holds a PhD from UNICAMP.. With extensive international experience, she leads operations, strategy, and financial structuring. She coordinates the execution of credit operations from origination through monitoring, managing external teams — legal, agronomic, compliance, structuring, and collections — to ensure alignment with ESG and regulatory criteria. She oversees due diligence with a focus on quality and speed, structures disbursements, and monitors performance and risk indicators throughout the lifecycle of each transaction​​.

David Weihs

Farmer Relations

David is a co-founder of AgDev and responsible for Farmer Relations. He graduated from Cornell University in Applied Economics and Management with a specialization in Agribusiness and Finance. Since 2005, he managed a land development project in Brazil and was involved in the early stages of several agribusinesses based in Iowa, focusing on agriculture, pork production, and dairy. In 2009, David began working with Carroll Farms Brazil, concentrating on analyzing expansion opportunities. He is now a co-owner of Carroll and is engaged in management at all levels. He has also collaborated with the Carroll family in Carthage, Illinois, on various occasions. David resides in Bahia and is married to Fabíola Weihs. They have three children.

John Carroll

Chairman

John is a co-founder of AgDev, where he serves as chairman. John is a member of a 5th-generation farming family. He graduated from Western Illinois University in 2003 with a degree in Agribusiness and an MBA with a finance emphasis. John and his wife Kelly moved to Brazil to manage the farm that the Carroll family had recently acquired. John lived in Brazil for 10 years where the operation grew to include 25,000 acres of owned and leased row crop farmland, a cotton gin, and a business services which does consulting, accounting, and compliance work for other foreigners with investments in Brazil. John oversees long term strategic planning for the Brazil business. In the US business John manages the family’s sow farms in Illinois and Missouri. 

Joseph Williams

CEO

Joseph is a seasoned international entrepreneur with 25 years of experience in real assets across the U.S. and Brazil. He has led the fundraising, structuring, and deployment of over US$230 million in Brazilian real asset investments, working with top-tier global investors such as GIC and Goldman Sachs. At AgDev, he oversees fund strategy, investor relations, and cross-border structuring, delivering scalable, risk-managed solutions for international limited partners (LPs).